Housing Starts Down in March on Coronavirus Effects

Filed in Economics by on April 16, 2020 6 Comments

Reflecting the growing impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, total housing starts decreased 22.3% in March from a downwardly revised February reading to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.22 million units, according to a report from the U.S. Housing and Urban Development and Commerce Department. Meanwhile, overall permits declined 6.8% to 1.35 million.

The March reading of 1.22 million starts is the number of housing units builders would begin if they kept this pace for the next 12 months. Within this overall number, single-family starts decreased 17.5% to an 856,000 seasonally adjusted annual rate. The multifamily sector, which includes apartment buildings and condos, decreased 31.7% to a 360,000 pace.

“Housing has been deemed an essential business in most of the nation, and in the few states where the governors have not acted, we urge them to deem construction as essential,” said NAHB Chairman Dean Mon. “Housing can help lead an eventual rebound, as it has done in previous recessions.”

“We expect further declines in housing starts in April, due to the unprecedented decline in builder confidence in our latest member survey,” said NAHB Chief Economist Robert Dietz. “It is worth noting that there are currently 534,000 single-family homes currently under construction and 684,000 apartments. Approximately 90% of these single-family units are located in states where home building is deemed as an ‘essential service,’ while 80% of apartments are located in such states.”

With respect to regional single-family and apartment construction, compared to a year ago, first quarter home production increased in all regions: 31.9% in the Northeast, 23% in the Midwest, 18.9% in the South and 27.1% in the West. These increases are due to strong construction data in January and February and weak comparable data at the start of 2019.

Overall permits declined 6.8% to a 1.35 million unit annualized rate in March. Single-family permits decreased 12% to an 884,000 unit rate, while multifamily permits increased 4.9% to a 469,000 pace.

Looking at regional permit data on a year-to-date basis, permits are 9.6% higher in the Northeast, 8% higher in the Midwest, 11.3% higher in the in the South and 17% higher in the West.

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Comments (6)

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  1. John Bitely says:

    I predict almost zero house starts for April in Michigan. We can’t work, agencies are shut down and we can’t get a permit if we wanted to. Very tough stance from our Governor on staying in place

    • William Rogers says:

      I agree with Governor Whitmer. Her fear, of course, is that allowing people to get back to work would start future deadlier rounds of coronavirus that would kill far more. Better to stay in place now, get it over in another month, and then get back to work with the confidence of a safe environment rather than countless starts and stops that would wreak havoc on the economy for months if not years to come. It’s hard, but gotta think long term…much better to tighten belts once for a couple months than increased uncertainty that lasts years. I agree, though, that the government needs to step in and do more for small businesses and low/middle income individuals to bridge the gap during shutdown.

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