Builder Confidence Rallies to Pre-Pandemic Level in July

Filed in Disaster Response, Economics by on July 16, 2020 249 Comments

In a strong signal that the housing market is ready to lead a post-COVID economic recovery, builder confidence in the market for newly-built single-family homes jumped 14 points to 72 in July, according to the latest NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI) released today. The HMI now stands at the solid pre-pandemic reading in March before the outbreak affected much of the nation.

“Builders are seeing strong traffic and lots of interest in new construction as existing home inventory remains lean,” said NAHB Chairman Chuck Fowke.  “Moreover, builders in the Northeast and the Midwest are benefiting from demand that was sidelined during lockdowns in the spring. Low interest rates are also fueling demand, and we expect housing to lead an overall economic recovery.”

“While the housing market is clearly rebounding, challenges exist,” said NAHB Chief Economist Robert Dietz. “Lumber prices are at a two-year high and builders are reporting rising costs for other building materials while lot and skilled labor availability issues persist. Nonetheless, the important story of the changing geography of housing demand is benefiting new construction. New home demand is improving in lower density markets, including small metro areas, rural markets and large metro exurbs, as people seek out larger homes and anticipate more flexibility for telework in the years ahead. Flight to the suburbs is real.”

Derived from a monthly survey that NAHB has been conducting for 30 years, the NAHB/Wells Fargo HMI gauges builder perceptions of current single-family home sales and sales expectations for the next six months as “good,” “fair” or “poor.” The survey also asks builders to rate traffic of prospective buyers as “high to very high,” “average” or “low to very low.” Scores for each component are then used to calculate a seasonally adjusted index where any number over 50 indicates that more builders view conditions as good than poor.

All the HMI indices posted gains in July. The HMI index gauging current sales conditions jumped 16 points to 79, the component measuring sales expectations in the next six months rose seven points to 75 and the measure charting traffic of prospective buyers posted a 15-point gain to 58.

Looking at the monthly average regional HMI scores, the Northeast surged 22 point to 70, the Midwest jumped 18 points to 68, the South increased 10 points to 73 and the West increased 14 points to 80.

HMI tables can be found at nahb.org/hmi. More information on housing statistics is also available at housingeconomics.com.

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  223. Will We See a Surge of Homebuyers Moving to the Suburbs? – Chiselle Vega | August 5, 2020
  224. Will We See a Surge of Homebuyers Moving to the Suburbs? | AWordPressSite | August 5, 2020
  225. Will We See a Surge of Homebuyers Moving to the Suburbs? - DeBerry Team | August 5, 2020
  226. Will We See a Surge of Homebuyers Moving to the Suburbs? - Zachary Wiss | August 5, 2020
  227. Will We See a Surge of Homebuyers Moving to the Suburbs? – Konomos Real Estate | August 7, 2020
  228. Will We See a Surge of Homebuyers Moving to the Suburbs? – Chris Paul, Realtor | August 9, 2020
  229. Will We See a Surge of Homebuyers Moving to the Suburbs? – Santy Martinez Group brokered by eXp Realty | August 10, 2020
  230. Will We See a Surge of Homebuyers Moving to the Suburbs? – The Brandon Smith Team | August 11, 2020
  231. Will We See a Surge of Homebuyers Moving to the Suburbs? | Nooshi Naderi | August 11, 2020
  232. Will We See a Surge of Homebuyers Moving to the Suburbs? - Michelle Lee | August 12, 2020
  233. Will We See a Surge of Homebuyers Moving to the Suburbs? | Dallas-Fort Worth Real Estate by Kadija Balde | August 12, 2020
  234. Will We See a Surge of Homebuyers Moving to the Suburbs? - Harry Singh | August 13, 2020
  235. Will We See A Surge Of Homebuyers Moving To The Suburbs? - Dan Theleen | August 14, 2020
  236. Will We See a Surge of Homebuyers Moving to the Suburbs? | The Rose Group | August 14, 2020
  237. Will We See a Surge of Homebuyers Moving to the Suburbs? | Portland Metro Real Estate :: Real Tour Property Group | August 17, 2020
  238. Will We See a Surge of Homebuyers Moving to the Suburbs? - Realtor in Loveland, Fort Collins, Berthoud | August 17, 2020
  239. Will We See a Surge of Homebuyers Moving to the Suburbs? - Janet Souza | August 18, 2020
  240. Will We See a Surge of Homebuyers Moving to the Suburbs? | Terry Vehrs | August 20, 2020
  241. Will We See a Surge of Homebuyers Moving to the Suburbs? | Greater Memphis Real Estate :: The Wallace Group | August 20, 2020
  242. Will We See a Surge of Homebuyers Moving to the Suburbs? – Santy Martinez Group brokered by eXp Realty | August 21, 2020
  243. Will We See a Surge of Homebuyers Moving Colorado Springs? | August 28, 2020
  244. Will We See a Surge of Homebuyers Moving to the Suburbs? - Boomers Helping Boomers | September 3, 2020
  245. Will we see a surge in Suburb Living? – Pierrott Group | September 8, 2020
  246. Will We See a Surge of Homebuyers Moving to the Suburbs? – The Markel Group | September 10, 2020
  247. Will We See a Surge of Homebuyers Moving to the Suburbs? - Steve Baker | September 11, 2020
  248. Wesley Chapel Home Sales as of September 14, 2020 - Tampa Market Monday | Tampa & New Tampa Real Estate :: Keller Williams | September 14, 2020
  1. THOMAS PINION says:

    Just shows the mindset of our industry leading the way

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