Single-Family Housing Starts Up in February, but Challenges Lie Ahead Due to Coronavirus

Filed in Disaster Response, Economics by on March 18, 2020 4 Comments

Total housing starts decreased 1.5% in February from an upwardly revised January reading to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.60 million units, according to a report from the U.S. Housing and Urban Development and Commerce Department. Meanwhile, overall permits declined 5.5% to 1.46 million.

The February reading of 1.60 million starts is the number of housing units builders would begin if they kept this pace for the next 12 months. Within this overall number, single-family starts increased 6.7% to a 1.07 million seasonally adjusted annual rate, the highest level since June 2007. The multifamily sector, which includes apartment buildings and condos, decreased 14.9% to a 527,000 pace.

“Housing starts were strong at the outset of 2020, as builders started production of homes to meet consumer demand at the beginning of the year,” said NAHB Chairman Dean Mon. “While these are solid numbers, the report is backward looking. Challenges lie ahead due to broad economic weakening stemming from the coronavirus crisis.”

“As indicated by some of the softening in builder confidence in March, housing construction faces significant headwinds as we enter the spring season,” said NAHB Chief Economist Robert Dietz. “With a rising number of economic sectors on a partial or full pause due to coronavirus mitigation, housing demand and the ability to continue full construction of homes is at significant risk.”

Regionally in February, combined single- and multifamily housing production increased 16.7% in the Midwest and 15.2% in the South. Starts fell 41.4% in the Northeast and 18.2% in the West.

Overall permits declined 5.5% to a 1.46 million unit annualized rate in February. Single-family permits increased 1.7% to a 1 million unit rate, while multifamily permits decreased 18.3% to a 460,000 pace.

Looking at regional permit data, permits dropped 25.1% in the Northeast, 8.2% in the Midwest, 1.6% in the South and 2.5% in the West.

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  1. Housing trajectory took off after 911 until 07. Beyond the pause, I see in the median price homes will adjust the fourth bedroom to become the work from home office.

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