Housing Starts Reach Post-Recession High in May as Permits Soften

Filed in 55+ Housing, Home Building, Multifamily by on June 19, 2018 0 Comments
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The kitchen in the Hancock model near Pittsburgh was a Best in 55+ Housing award winner for Traditions of America. Photo by Mike Mihalo, CPP.

Total housing starts rose 5% in May to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.35 million units, according to newly released data from HUD and the Commerce Department. This is the highest housing starts report since July 2007.

While housing production numbers rose, overall permits dropped 4.6% to 1.3 million units: Single-family permits fell 2.2% to 844,000 while multifamily permits fell 8.7% to 457,000.

“Ongoing job creation, positive demographics and tight existing home inventory should spur more single-family production in the months ahead,” said NAHB Chief Economist Robert Dietz. “However, the softening of single-family permits is consistent with our reports showing that builders are concerned over mounting construction costs, including the highly elevated prices of softwood lumber.”

The May reading of 1.35 million is the number of housing units builders would begin if they kept this pace for the next 12 months. Within this overall number, single-family starts rose 3.9% to 936,000—the second highest reading since the Great Recession. Meanwhile, the multifamily sector rose 7.5% to 414,000 units.

Year-to-date, single-family and multifamily production are respectively 9.8% and 13.6% higher than their levels over the same period last year. The year-to-date metric can help compare performance data over a specific time period and show growth trends.

“We should see builders continue to increase production to meet growing consumer demand even as they grapple with stubborn supply-side constraints, particularly rising lumber costs,” said NAHB Chairman Randy Noel.

Regionally, the Midwest led the nation with a 62.2% increase in combined single- and multifamily housing starts. Starts fell 0.9% in the South, 4.1% in the West and 15% in the Northeast.

Looking at regional permit data, permits rose 42.1% in the Northeast and 7.2% in the Midwest. They fell 4.6% in the West and 13.9% in the South.

Read more analysis in Eye on Housing.

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